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Deconstructing "Urban vs. Rural Sustainability"

When Urban vs. Rural Sustainability by Toby Hemenway started making the rounds on the internet a year ago, I thought that the article had a lot of shortcomings. But I was too busy illustrating Tools for Gridcrash to craft a response. Now, after conferring with a third generation organic family farmer for further insights into rural life, I'm going to share some of my thoughts and responses. --Aric McBay

Click here to read an extra note about this article added on January 22.

Overall, the main point of Hemenway's article seems to be that if a major industrial crash occurred "the cities may be unpleasant," but that "the countryside may be far worse off." I'm certainly willing to engage in a discussion about that point, but in this case I think that Hemenway's arguments are based on a projection of his own personal and anecdotal experiences with country living on society at large, and on some serious misconceptions about the sustainability of the modern city. If his article was only a series of anecdotes about his own experiences with living in the country and the city, I wouldn't bother to respond to it. But I feel obligated to because many people don't seem to be seriously questioning the premises that lead him to suggest city in general is a better place to be in a hard crash.

First of all, Hemenway describes difficulties he had with country living, including a lack of common ground with and conflicts between his neighbours, trouble getting enough water, manure and wood chips for his garden, and "watery beer". These problems are all things can be solved by planning ahead if you are planning to move out into the country from the city. Don't move to a place where you won't get along with the neighbours, or where you feel threatened by them. Hemenway's implication by generalization is that all rural people are uncultured and violent, which is simply not the case, but it is a common stereotype held by privileged suburbanites. I'm sure that in some rural places there are many people I wouldn't get along with or would feel threatened by, and in some places there aren't. (When I was biking across southern Saskatchewan I came across some of the nicest strangers I've ever met.) I'm also sure that the same goes for cities. It's all a matter of choosing a place that works for you ahead of time. If you don't do that, you can't blame it on all rural people.

And the same goes for planning your garden and land so that you can get enough water and manure without importing it. That's a precondition for sustainability. As Hemenway's problems progressed;

Slowly a mild paranoia set in. I started to wonder whether, if the Big Crash came, I was really in the right place. We had the best garden for miles around, and everyone knew it. If law broke down, wasn’t there more than a chance that my next door neighbor, a gun-selling meth dealer and felon, might just shoot me for all that food?

My question is, are the police in the city any less likely to take that food from you by force, as "taxes" if there is a major shortage of food? And do you think that if you resisted them they would not harm you to get it? In New Orleans, police took food and water from starving refugees, and that emergency was really quite brief by comparison to a permanent collapse.

Who is a larger threat, one armed person, or a large, trained, organized and extremely well-armed group? And who are you more likely to win over to your side, a neighbour with whom you can share food, skills and tools? Or a large group of psychological conditioned people trained in allegiance to the state? And besides, armed neighbours are abundant in cities, too, and in a shortage almost anything can be used as a weapon.

My farmer friend points out that even though doing activism in rural areas can be harder, it can also be more rewarding.

I began to sense the outlines of a pattern that replicated one in society at large. We have the technical means to feed, clothe, and house all humanity. But legions starve because we have not learned to tolerate and support one another. People’s real problems are not technical, they are social and political. Down in Douglas County, I’d solved most of the technical problems for our own personal survival, but the social hurdles to true security were staring me in the face.

This is isn't directly related to the main point of the article, but a need to mention it. Firstly, the reason so many people are starving doesn't have anything to do with the fact that ordinary people aren't "tolerating" each other. Rather, as Anuradha Mittal, codirector of the Institute for Food and Development Policy, observes it has nothing to do with tolerance and everything to do with the exploitation of the "third world" by "first world" governments and corporations.

Secondly, I would say that without the cheap energy of this brief oil age the technical problems of sustainable food, clothing, and housing for close to seven billion humans are not actually solved at all.

Hemenway continues:

So we have moved to Portland, and into the heart of town. We love it. The first of many good omens was the bio-diesel Mercedes across the street sporting a Kucinich sticker. And it’s a pleasure to be within walking distance of a bookstore, good coffee, and Ben and Jerry’s.

If having a Mercedes (biodiesel or otherwise) and easy access to Ben and Jerry's ice cream are among your main considerations, you may want to rethink your priorities in light of the full implications and realities of peak oil and industrial collapse. (See further readings.)

Moreover, just because you have the same taste in ice cream doesn't mean that you'll get along with people in a really tough situation. The Mercedes drivers could be just as cutthroat as the meth dealers if there was no food, and instead of just the one neighbour there would be thousands of them within the same radius. Hemenway seems to conclude that this problem is solved by his generous neighbours' fruit trees:

During the first few days in the city I would stand on the back porch, eyeing our yard with permaculture dreams in my head. The sole tree is a sprawling European prune plum. Other than that, the yard is a blank slate, dominated by a brick patio, a lawn, and an old dog run. And it’s small. I wondered how I would I fit all my favorite fruit trees in that tiny space.

The answer soon came. The plum tree straddles the fence we share with our neighbor Johnny, who has lived next door for 55 years. One day, on opposite sides of the fence, Johnny and I were gathering a small fraction of the branch-bending loads of plums when he called out, “Do you like figs?” I said I did, and soon a tub of black mission figs wobbled over the fence toward me.

But fruit trees without other foods cannot provide a healthy diet (excessive fruit consumption can cause chronic diarrhea). And would his neighbours really be any more eager to share in a tough spot than rural people if they didn't have enough food for families? Hemenway decides that at least his urban neighbours have a lower consumption than his former rural neighbours:

In the city, an equal group of twelve families use 10% of the road, wire, and pipe needed in my old neighborhood. Many neighbors bus or bike to work, or at worst, drive single-digit mileages. [...]

This is not the place to go deeply into the question of whether cities are more sustainable than contemporary American country life, but at each point where I delve into the issues, I find suggestions that urbanites have a smaller ecological footprint per capita.

In the current situation that might be true for some people in rural areas, although I think that the consumption of farmers is a subset of the consumption urban eaters, since that consumption is required to make the food they eat. So really, the ecological footprint of the farmer should be at least partly divided up between all of the people who eat the food they grow.

But we aren't talking about the current situation, we're talking about collapse. And in collapse the main concerns are things like food, water, and energy (probably in the form of wood) for heating and cooking. All of those things are far, far more abundant in the country than in the city, both in absolute terms and per capita. So in that case it is the city which unquestionably has the longest supply chain to get essentials.

And it doesn't matter how many miles of cable there are between you and the power plant if the power plant isn't producing or any electricity. Or if there is a dramatic shortage of electricity, it would only be available to the very rich anyway.

Besides, this problem is addressed by having fairly dense but small settlements from place to place, like ecovillages. I'm not aware of anyone suggesting that we live solitary lives in farmhouses miles apart as a solution for energy or ecological issues. Moving to the country with a group of other people you know and trust would improve security and loneliness issues.

Hemenway writes that market forces will ensure that city continues to be in better shape:

Sociologists Jane Jacobs and Lewis Mumford have each noted that during the Depression and other hard times, urban residents have generally fared better than ruralites. The causes mainly boil down to market forces and simple physics. Since most of the population lives in or near cities, when goods are scarce the greater demand, density, and economic power in the cities directs resources to them. Shipping hubs are mostly in cities, so trucks are emptied before they get out of town.

Even those supply trucks have to travel across the countryside between cities, so what is stopping Hemenway's apparently gun-happy neighbours from taking supplies from those trucks in transit if things are so desperate that they would shoot him for food? And supply trucks weren't very effective at dealing with the situation in New Orleans -- how would they deal with shortages of food and failure of infrastructure on a much larger scale?

And again, if the economy broke down severely you wouldn't want to put to much of your hope in market forces. I should also note that Lewis Mumford was a major proponent of the decentralization of cities and infrastructure. ("Anything like an adequate answer [to the problem of overlarge cities] does not merely demand limitation: it also requires a new method of reorganizing and redistributing the population, when it expands beyond the desired norm—decentralization and regional federation." Lewis Mumford, The City in History.) Hemenway continues:

In the Depression, farmers initially had the advantage of being able to feed themselves. But they soon ran out of other supplies: coal to run forges to fix machinery, fertilizer, medicine, clothing, and almost every other non-food item. Without those, they couldn’t grow food. Farmers who could still do business with cities survived. Those too remote or obstinate blew away with the Kansas dust.

If we're concerned about "urban and rural sustainability," we should probably not be terribly worried about importing coal and fertilizer. Coal is finite in supply and fertilizer requires massive quantities of energy to synthesize, and so neither of those are even remotely sustainable wherever you are. Farms that were sustainable in the first place wouldn't suffer from those problems.

And although it's very poetic to say that the farmers "blew away with the Kansas dust" it's terribly inaccurate. Firstly, according to Overshoot: The Ecological Basis of Revolutionary Change by William Catton there was a net movement of a million people into the countryside in the US during the Depression. So obviously it wasn't that unappealing. [Read source] Secondly, farmers didn't just passively disappear. During the Depression farm foreclosure notices on mortgages were delivered by the Sheriff, so uncooperative farmers could be removed from the land at gunpoint if need be. The Secretary of the Treasury advised the President to "liquidate the farmers" to deal with the Depression. The situation did indeed become desperate for many farmers, like almost everyone else, and farmers became more and more agitated. In 1933 the New York World-Telegram observed: "Americans are slow to understand that actual revolution already exists in the farm belt." Farmers began to blockade roads and engage in "Farmers' Strikes" to raise awareness about their situation. In response, local businessmen would hire goons to kill the farmers. So in a sense, Hemenway was right; obstinate farmers were blown away, in a morbid manner of speaking. [I've referred to Robert Goldston's book The Great Depression: The United States in the Thirties for more information in this section.]

Today the situation for farmers has worsened. Few farmers grow their own food. Agribusiness has made them utterly dependent on chemicals and other shipped-in products. The main lack of cities compared to farms is food-growing, but farms lack nearly everything else—and most of that comes from cities.

It's probably more accurate to say that many things come via cities, since the raw materials for chemicals and the like come from the countryside. But that's beside the point, because synthetic fertilizers and other chemicals are unsustainable and energy-demanding, so they won't be available to city inhabitants either.

I live in Ontario, Canada, so decided to see how many of the things I use on a daily basis come from Toronto, the nearest major city.

The telephone is from China, and so is my computer mouse and keyboard, and the lamps and compact fluorescent lightbulbs. The cup I'm drinking water out of is from Thailand. The patch kit I just used to repair my bike tire is from Taiwan. My clothes, though all second hand? Sweater is from Hong Kong, teeshirt is from Haiti, my pants, underwear, hat and shoes are from China. The spices I cooked lunch with and the tea I had after were all from India. The duct tape is from Argentina, and the packing tape is from Taiwan. My scissors are from Japan. In fact, the only things that came from within three thousand kilometers were the potatoes, carrots and canned tomatoes I had for lunch. And I grew those myself, in my rural vegetable garden.

Most manufacturing of everyday products doesn't happen in US cities, it happens overseas in places like India and China and Singapore. (Does that mean my best bet to survive Peak Oil is to move to Beijing?)

It's not the 1930s anymore. American cities not only lack food, but they also lack the manufacturing that Hemenway suggests would give them an advantage.

Concluding his section on the city, Hemenway writes:

Setting aside for the moment the all-important issue of social and political cohesion, for cities to survive a peak-oil crash, the critical necessity is for them to learn to grow food.

The problem is that even if they learn to grow their own food, there simply isn't enough soil and water in a large urban centre to grow food for even a tiny fraction of that population. So either most of the people will die or they will move to rural or near-rural areas anyway.

For country people to survive, inhabitants will need to provide nearly every single other essential good for themselves.

As I hope looking at the countries of origins for various products illustrates, city people in the US and most of the industrialized work will also have to provide those goods for themselves in the event of a serious crash.

Now, I'm not saying that modern rural life in north america is sustainable. It isn't, and not by a long shot. But to say that cities are more sustainable in a collapse context is simply a fantasy. There are some advantages to cities, or towns at least, in some situations (see my discussion of security issues, for instance). But we can't extrapolate from one person's anecdotal experience and project that pattern onto the entire population, especially considering that Portland is a uniquely green and liberal city.

If we do that, I worry that some people may make very bad or dangerous decisions.

Where ever you plan to live, I encourage you to consider some of the problems that Hemenway had. Can you live in place where you trust you neighbours? Where you can get enough water? Where you have enough land to grow food? Whether we live in a town or not, those are crucial questions to answer.

 

Note added January 22

A couple of people reading my article Deconstructing 'Urban vs. Rural Sustainability' seemed to conclude that I'm absolutely and universally opposed to living in cities or suburbs during collapse. That's not the case. My concern was debunking the idea that rural places were doomed to "blow away like dust," not to say that all cities or suburbs are a horrible place to be in collapse. I think that many of them will be, eventually, but that isn't the point of this article. I actually do work to create and maintain community gardens in cities and I think there are definitely some compelling reasons to consider living in cities and suburbs during collapse -- although many of my reasons for doing so are somewhat different then Hemenway's. I'm working on an essay now that will explore some of those reasons and look at the urban/rural/wilderness continuum in a collapse context.

 

Overshoot Source

Here is the text for my source of that from William R. Catton's Overshoot: The Ecological Basis of Revolutionary Change:

The fiscal collapse had an even more important implication than this for our ecological understanding of the human predicament. That implication appears in the generalized Depression that followed. Consider the farm population in America. Like almost everyone else, farm families were compelled, by the repercussions of bank failures and the ramifications of general panic, to cut their consumer expenditures. Farmers also often had to allow their land, their buildings, and their equipment to deteriorate for lack of money to pay for maintenance and repairs. Many farms were encumbered by mortgages—mortgages which were foreclosed by banks that now desperately needed the payments farmers could not afford to make. (Bank failures were even more common in rural regions than in major cities.) In spite of all these difficulties, however, the farm population in America ceased declining (as it had been doing) and increased between 1929 and 1933 by more than a million. The long-term trend of movement out of farm niches and into urban niches was reversed during the Great Depression.

Niches everywhere were being constricted by the Depression. However, the urbanizing trend that had been occurring as a result of industrial growth in the cities and from elimination of farm niches by mechanization of agriculture was disrupted by this economic breakdown. At the heart of the reversal was a simple fact: the nature of' farming in the 1930s was still such that, whatever else they had to give up, there was still truth in the cliche that "the farm family can always eat." Other (non-flood-producing) occupational groups that now had to fall back (like the farmers) on carrying capacities of reduced scope could find themselves in much more dire straits.

If we read it rightly, then, we can see the differential impact of the Depression upon farm versus non-farm populations as a cogent indicator of the dependence of the total population on previously achieved enlargements of the scope of application of' Liebig's law With breakdown of the mechanisms of exchange, various segments of a modern nation had to revert as best they could to living on carrying capacities again limited by locally least abundant resources, rather than extended by access to less scarce resources from elsewhere. Although scope reduction hurt everyone, rural folk had local resources to fall back upon; urban people, in contrast, had so detached themselves as to have almost ceased to recognize the indispensability of those resources. For reasons we shall examine in a moment, economic hard times hit the farms sooner than they hit the cities, but in the final scope-reducing crunch the farmers turned out to have an advantage sufficient to interrupt a clear trend of urbanization.

You can read more of that same chapter here.

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